Multilevel Analysis of Racial and Ethnic Disparities in COVID-19 Hospitalization among Children with Allergies.

Rationale: Previous studies have identified risk factors for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) hospitalization in children. However, these studies have been limited in their ability to disentangle the contribution of racial disparities, allergic comorbidities, and environmental exposures to the development of severe COVID-19 in at-risk children with allergies. Objectives: To examine racial and ethnic disparities in COVID-19 hospitalization and their links to potentially underlying allergic comorbidities and individual and place-based factors in children with allergies. Methods: This is an electronic health record-based retrospective study of children in 2020. The outcome was COVID-19 hospitalization categorized as no hospital care for patients with asymptomatic/mild illness, short stay for patients admitted and discharged within 24 hours, and prolonged stay for patients requiring additional time to discharge (more than 24 h). Mixed-effects and mediation models were used to determine relationships among independent variables, mediators, and COVID-19 hospitalization. Results: Among the 5,258 children with COVID-19 positive test or diagnosis, 10% required a short stay, and 3.7% required a prolonged stay. Black and Hispanic children had higher odds of longer stays than non-Hispanic White children (both P < 0.001). Children with obesity and eosinophilic esophagitis diagnoses had higher odds of short and prolonged stay (all P < 0.05). Area-level deprivation was associated with short stay (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 15.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 5.16-45.47 for every 0.1-unit increase) and prolonged stay (AOR, 11.82; 95% CI, 2.25-62.01 for every 0.1-unit increase). Associations between race/ethnicity and COVID-19 hospitalization were primarily mediated by insurance and area-level deprivation, altogether accounting for 99% of the variation in COVID-19 hospitalization. Conclusions: There were racial and ethnic differences in children with allergies and individual and place-based factors related to COVID-19 hospitalization. Differences were primarily mediated by insurance and area-level deprivation, altogether accounting for 99% of the variation in COVID-19 hospitalization. A better understanding of COVID-related morbidity in children and the link to place-based factors is key to developing prevention strategies capable of equitably improving outcomes.

Spatiotemporal transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on critical healthcare capacity.

The role of geospatial disparities in the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic is poorly understood. We developed a spatially-explicit mathematical model to simulate transmission dynamics of COVID-19 disease infection in relation with the uneven distribution of the healthcare capacity in Ohio, U.S. The results showed substantial spatial variation in the spread of the disease, with localized areas showing marked differences in disease attack rates. Higher COVID-19 attack rates experienced in some highly connected and urbanized areas (274 cases per 100,000 people) could substantially impact the critical health care response of these areas regardless of their potentially high healthcare capacity compared to more rural and less connected counterparts (85 cases per 100,000). Accounting for the spatially uneven disease diffusion linked to the geographical distribution of the critical care resources is essential in designing effective prevention and control programmes aimed at reducing the impact of COVID-19 pandemic.